Residual and log biomass fuel projections for New Zealand - 2026

Residual and log biomass fuel projections for New Zealand, 2026 report by Peter Hall, ScionIndicative availability by region and source

Objective

The goal of this report and the accompanying tables is to describe the woody biomass residue resources in New Zealand by volume, type, energy content, and region over time from 2026 to 2055 (~30 years). The focus is on existing resources derived from established forests, wood processing, and other woody biomass residue streams etc.

The estimated delivered costs of biomass supply in 2026 are included. These are estimated costs, which include a profit margin, and should be regarded as indicative only. They are not, and are not meant to be, a price. The impact of diesel price on these costs can be substantial, with a 5% plus or minus change in transport costs possible based on the changes seen in the first half of 2026.

This report is an update and expansion of the preceding work done in 2023/24. This analysis includes more resources, with the addition of production thinning volumes, scrub, and wildings from Canterbury and short rotation forestry in Southland. The data on resources that were reported on in 2023/24 are updated based on the latest available information.

The potential for biomass supply from new forest, or bioenergy crop plantings such as short rotation coppice is not addressed here.

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